Pacers vs. Heat Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – November 17

Published 9:17 pm Saturday, November 16, 2024

The Indiana Pacers (5-7) play the Miami Heat (5-6) as only 2.5-point favorites on Sunday, November 17, 2024 at 5:00 PM ET on FDSIN and FDSSUN.

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Pacers vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSIN and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

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Pacers vs. Heat Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Heat 114 – Pacers 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Pacers vs. Heat

  • Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.8)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (229.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 226.7
  • The Pacers have a 6-6-0 ATS record this season as opposed to the 5-6-0 mark from the Heat.
  • Indiana (2-4) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 2.5 points or more this season (33.3%) than Miami (3-1) does as a 2.5+-point underdog (75%).
  • When it comes to going over the total in 2024-25, Miami and its opponents don’t do it as often (54.5% of the time) as Indiana and its opponents (66.7%).
  • As a moneyline underdog this season, the Heat are 2-3, while the Pacers are 2-4 as moneyline favorites.

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Pacers Performance Insights

  • The Pacers are averaging 113.6 points per game (13th-ranked in NBA) this season, while surrendering 117.2 points per contest (24th-ranked).
  • While Indiana ranks in the bottom five in the NBA in boards per game with 40 (third-worst), it ranks 19th in the league with 44.7 rebounds allowed per contest.
  • The Pacers are putting up 27.8 assists per game, which ranks them eighth in the NBA in 2024-25.
  • Indiana ranks 16th in the NBA with 13.9 turnovers per game so far this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 22nd with 12.9 forced turnovers per contest.
  • So far this season, the Pacers are draining 12.3 three-pointers per game (20th-ranked in NBA) and are shooting 37.4% (10th-ranked) from three-point land.

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Heat Performance Insights

  • With 111.5 points scored per game and 111.2 points conceded, the Heat are 18th in the league offensively and 10th defensively.
  • On the boards, Miami is 22nd in the NBA in rebounds (42.4 per game). It is third-worst in rebounds conceded (46.3 per game).
  • This season the Heat are ranked 16th in the league in assists at 25.5 per game.
  • In terms of turnovers, Miami is second-best in the NBA in committing them (11.7 per game). It is seventh in forcing them (15.2 per game).
  • The Heat are ninth in the league in 3-pointers made (14.8 per game) and fourth-best in 3-point percentage (38.5%).

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