Thursday’s contest features the Tennessee State Tigers (14-15, 10-8 OVC) and the Morehead State Eagles (14-15, 9-9 OVC) matching up at Gentry Center (on February 27) at 8:30 PM ET. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in a 77-68 win for Tennessee State.

According to our computer prediction, Tennessee State is projected to cover the spread (7.5) versus Morehead State. The two sides are projected to fall short of the 145.5 over/under.

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Tennessee State vs. Morehead State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, February 27, 2025
• Time: 8:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Nashville, Tennessee
• Venue: Gentry Center
• Line: Tennessee State -7.5
• Point total: 145.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee State -429, Morehead State +320

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Tennessee State vs. Morehead State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee State 77, Morehead State 68

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee State vs. Morehead State

• Pick ATS: Tennessee State (-7.5)
• Pick OU: Under (145.5)

Tennessee State is 14-12-0 against the spread, while Morehead State’s ATS record this season is 11-15-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Tigers are 19-7-0 and the Eagles are 10-16-0. The teams score an average of 146.1 points per game, 0.6 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 games, Tennessee State is 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall while Morehead State has gone 1-9 against the spread and 2-8 overall.

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Tennessee State Performance Insights

• The Tigers outscore opponents by 4.5 points per game (scoring 79.3 points per game to rank 56th in college basketball while giving up 74.8 per outing to rank 265th in college basketball) and have a +133 scoring differential overall.
• Tennessee State wins the rebound battle by an average of 7.0 boards. It is recording 38.2 rebounds per game (fourth in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.2 per contest.
• Tennessee State knocks down 6.8 three-pointers per game (278th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.2. It shoots 32.2% from deep while its opponents hit 32.6% from long range.
• The Tigers average 94.1 points per 100 possessions (224th in college basketball), while allowing 88.7 points per 100 possessions (74th in college basketball).
• Tennessee State has committed 14.9 turnovers per game (359th in college basketball action), 2.5 more than the 12.4 it forces on average (94th in college basketball).

Morehead State Performance Insights

• The Eagles have a -78 scoring differential, falling short by 2.7 points per game. They’re putting up 66.8 points per game, 340th in college basketball, and are allowing 69.5 per outing to rank 102nd in college basketball.
• The 33.5 rebounds per game Morehead State accumulates rank 88th in college basketball, 4.5 more than the 29.0 its opponents grab.
• Morehead State hits 5.9 three-pointers per game (341st in college basketball) at a 31.1% rate (324th in college basketball), compared to the 6.8 its opponents make, shooting 35.3% from beyond the arc.
• Morehead State has typically lost the turnover battle this season, committing 10.8 per game (134th in college basketball) while forcing 9.5 (336th in college basketball).

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