Texas vs. Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 15

Published 3:28 pm Friday, February 14, 2025

Saturday’s contest that pits the No. 15 Kentucky Wildcats (17-7, 6-5 SEC) versus the Texas Longhorns (15-10, 4-8 SEC) at Moody Center is expected to be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 79-76 in favor of Kentucky. Tipoff is at 8:00 PM ET on February 15.

Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky is projected to cover the spread (1.5) against Texas. The two teams are projected to go under the 157.5 total.

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Texas vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, February 15, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Austin, Texas
  • Venue: Moody Center
  • Line: Texas -1.5
  • Point total: 157.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Texas -128, Kentucky +106

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Texas vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Kentucky 79, Texas 76

Spread & Total Prediction for Texas vs. Kentucky

  • Pick ATS: Kentucky (+1.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (157.5)

Texas has a 13-12-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Kentucky, who is 12-12-0 ATS. The Longhorns are 15-10-0 and the Wildcats are 13-11-0 in terms of going over the point total. The teams combine to score 164.9 points per game, 7.4 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 games, Texas has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall. Kentucky has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Texas Performance Insights

  • The Longhorns have a +241 scoring differential, topping opponents by 9.7 points per game. They’re putting up 78.6 points per game to rank 75th in college basketball and are giving up 68.9 per outing to rank 89th in college basketball.
  • Texas records 32.6 rebounds per game (151st in college basketball) while allowing 30.6 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.0 boards per game.
  • Texas knocks down 7.7 three-pointers per game (176th in college basketball) at a 36.6% rate (61st in college basketball), compared to the 7.0 its opponents make while shooting 34.0% from deep.
  • The Longhorns put up 102.9 points per 100 possessions (37th in college basketball), while giving up 90.3 points per 100 possessions (122nd in college basketball).
  • Texas wins the turnover battle by 2.2 per game, committing 9.1 (14th in college basketball) while its opponents average 11.3.

Kentucky Performance Insights

  • The Wildcats’ +245 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 10.3 points per game) is a result of putting up 86.3 points per game (third in college basketball) while allowing 76.0 per outing (297th in college basketball).
  • Kentucky grabs 35.3 rebounds per game (40th in college basketball) while conceding 31.8 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 3.5 boards per game.
  • Kentucky knocks down 1.9 more threes per game than the opposition, 10.2 (21st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.3.
  • Kentucky has committed 9.7 turnovers per game (40th in college basketball) while forcing 9.2 (345th in college basketball).

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