Little Rock vs. Morehead State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 8

Published 11:28 pm Friday, February 7, 2025

Saturday’s game that pits the Little Rock Trojans (15-9, 9-4 OVC) versus the Morehead State Eagles (14-10, 9-4 OVC) at Ellis T. Johnson Arena has a projected final score of 69-65 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Little Rock, who is slightly favored in this matchup according to our model. Game time is at 2:00 PM ET on February 8.

Based on our computer prediction, Little Rock is projected to cover the point spread (3.5) against Morehead State. The two sides are expected to go over the 128.5 total.

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Little Rock vs. Morehead State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, February 8, 2025
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPNU
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Morehead, Kentucky
  • Venue: Ellis T. Johnson Arena
  • Line: Little Rock -3.5
  • Point total: 128.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Little Rock -150, Morehead State +122

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Little Rock vs. Morehead State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Little Rock 69, Morehead State 65

Spread & Total Prediction for Little Rock vs. Morehead State

  • Pick ATS: Little Rock (-3.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (128.5)

Little Rock has a 13-9-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Morehead State, who is 11-10-0 ATS. The Trojans have hit the over in five games, while Eagles games have gone over seven times. The teams score an average of 136.6 points per game, 8.1 more points than this matchup’s total. Little Rock is 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall over its last 10 contests, while Morehead State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

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Little Rock Performance Insights

  • The Trojans’ +82 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.4 points per game) is a result of scoring 68.9 points per game (303rd in college basketball) while allowing 65.5 per outing (34th in college basketball).
  • Little Rock ranks 165th in the nation at 32.6 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 33.5 its opponents average.
  • Little Rock makes 6.9 three-pointers per game (266th in college basketball) at a 36.9% rate (51st in college basketball), compared to the 7.5 its opponents make while shooting 29.6% from beyond the arc.
  • The Trojans average 88.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (329th in college basketball), and give up 84 points per 100 possessions (18th in college basketball).
  • Little Rock has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 12.5 per game (287th in college basketball play) while forcing 14 (35th in college basketball).

Morehead State Performance Insights

  • The Eagles have a -23 scoring differential, putting up 67.7 points per game (324th in college basketball) and conceding 68.6 (86th in college basketball).
  • Morehead State records 34.3 rebounds per game (73rd in college basketball) while conceding 29.5 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.8 boards per game.
  • Morehead State connects on 5.8 three-pointers per game (343rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.7. It shoots 30.9% from deep, and its opponents shoot 33.2%.
  • Morehead State has committed 10.8 turnovers per game (124th in college basketball), 1.3 more than the 9.5 it forces (334th in college basketball).

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