Tennessee vs. Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 28

Published 3:28 pm Monday, January 27, 2025

Tuesday’s contest between the No. 8 Tennessee Volunteers (17-3, 4-3 SEC) and No. 12 Kentucky Wildcats (14-5, 3-3 SEC) squaring off at Thompson-Boling Arena has a projected final score of 78-71 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Tennessee, who is listed as the favorite by our model. The game will begin at 7:00 PM ET on January 28.

According to our computer prediction, Kentucky should cover the point spread, which is currently listed at 8.5. The two teams are projected to go over the 148.5 over/under.

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Tuesday, January 28, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Knoxville, Tennessee
  • Venue: Thompson-Boling Arena
  • Line: Tennessee -8.5
  • Point total: 148.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -385, Kentucky +300

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Tennessee 78, Kentucky 71

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Kentucky

  • Pick ATS: Kentucky (+8.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (148.5)

Tennessee has a 13-7-0 record against the spread this season compared to Kentucky, who is 9-10-0 ATS. The Volunteers have hit the over in seven games, while Wildcats games have gone over 10 times. The two teams score an average of 163.2 points per game, 14.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Tennessee has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall in the last 10 games. Kentucky has gone 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

  • The Volunteers have a +335 scoring differential, topping opponents by 16.7 points per game. They’re putting up 75.1 points per game to rank 175th in college basketball and are giving up 58.4 per contest to rank third in college basketball.
  • Tennessee ranks 50th in the country at 35.3 rebounds per game. That’s 8.5 more than the 26.8 its opponents average.
  • Tennessee knocks down 8.6 three-pointers per game (101st in college basketball) while shooting 34.2% from deep (160th in college basketball). It is making two more threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 6.6 per game while shooting 25.4%.
  • The Volunteers rank 92nd in college basketball by averaging 99.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are second in college basketball, allowing 77.5 points per 100 possessions.
  • Tennessee has come out ahead in the turnover battle by two turnovers per game, committing 10.2 (68th in college basketball action) while forcing 12.2 (140th in college basketball).

Kentucky Performance Insights

  • The Wildcats have a +230 scoring differential, topping opponents by 12.1 points per game. They’re putting up 88.1 points per game, third in college basketball, and are allowing 76 per contest to rank 296th in college basketball.
  • Kentucky ranks 25th in the country at 36.5 rebounds per game. That’s 4.1 more than the 32.4 its opponents average.
  • Kentucky makes 10.1 three-pointers per game (23rd in college basketball), 1.9 more than its opponents.
  • Kentucky and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Wildcats commit 9.8 per game (34th in college basketball) and force 10.1 (313th in college basketball).

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