Kentucky vs. Alabama Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 18
Published 11:28 am Friday, January 17, 2025
Saturday’s contest between the No. 8 Kentucky Wildcats (14-3, 3-1 SEC) and No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (14-3, 3-1 SEC) at Rupp Arena should be a close matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 83-82, with Kentucky taking home the win. Game time is at 12:00 PM ET on January 18.
According to our computer prediction, Alabama should cover the point spread, which is currently listed at 1.5. The two teams are projected to come in below the 178.5 total.
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Kentucky vs. Alabama Game Info & Odds
- Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
- Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Lexington, Kentucky
- Venue: Rupp Arena
- Line: Kentucky -1.5
- Point total: 178.5
- Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -132, Alabama +110
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Kentucky vs. Alabama Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Kentucky 83, Alabama 82
Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Alabama
- Pick ATS: Alabama (+1.5)
- Pick OU: Under (178.5)
Both Kentucky and Alabama are 9-8-0 against the spread (ATS) so far this season. Both the Wildcats and the Crimson Tide are 9-8-0 in terms of going over the point total in their games this season. The teams average 178.2 points per game combined, 0.3 less than this matchup’s over/under. In the past 10 games, Kentucky is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall while Alabama has gone 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall.
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Kentucky Performance Insights
- The Wildcats have a +240 scoring differential, topping opponents by 14.1 points per game. They’re putting up 88.7 points per game to rank third in college basketball and are allowing 74.6 per outing to rank 265th in college basketball.
- Kentucky ranks 27th in the nation at 36.4 rebounds per game. That’s 3.9 more than the 32.5 its opponents average.
- Kentucky makes 10.1 three-pointers per game (29th in college basketball), 2.4 more than its opponents (7.7).
- The Wildcats average 107.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (ninth in college basketball), and allow 90.5 points per 100 possessions (151st in college basketball).
- Kentucky forces 10.5 turnovers per game (291st in college basketball) while committing 9.5 (19th in college basketball action).
Alabama Performance Insights
- The Crimson Tide are outscoring opponents by 12.3 points per game, with a +209 scoring differential overall. They put up 89.5 points per game (first in college basketball) and give up 77.2 per contest (310th in college basketball).
- The 40.9 rebounds per game Alabama accumulates rank third in college basketball, 8.6 more than the 32.3 its opponents grab.
- Alabama connects on 3.4 more threes per contest than the opposition, 10.0 (31st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.6.
- Alabama has committed 12.2 turnovers per game (254th in college basketball), 1.8 more than the 10.4 it forces (298th in college basketball).
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