Austin Peay vs. Morehead State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – November 20

Published 11:28 pm Tuesday, November 19, 2024

Wednesday’s contest at Ellis T. Johnson Arena has the Austin Peay Governors (3-1) squaring off against the Morehead State Eagles (1-3) at 7:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a lopsided 78-63 victory, as our model heavily favors Austin Peay.

Based on our computer prediction, Austin Peay is projected to cover the point spread (2.5) versus Morehead State. The two teams are expected to eclipse the 138.5 over/under.

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Austin Peay vs. Morehead State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, November 20, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Morehead, Kentucky
  • Venue: Ellis T. Johnson Arena
  • Line: Austin Peay -2.5
  • Point total: 138.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Austin Peay -168, Morehead State +136

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Austin Peay vs. Morehead State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Austin Peay 78, Morehead State 63

Spread & Total Prediction for Austin Peay vs. Morehead State

  • Pick ATS: Austin Peay (-2.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (138.5)

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Austin Peay Performance Insights

  • Last season, Austin Peay was 138th in the nation offensively (74.8 points scored per game) and 221st on defense (73.2 points conceded).
  • The Governors grabbed 31.2 rebounds per game and conceded 32.2 boards last season, ranking 237th and 215th, respectively, in college basketball.
  • At 11.1 assists per game last season, Austin Peay was 325th in the nation.
  • Last season, the Governors were 127th in the nation in 3-point makes (7.9 per game) and 58th in 3-point percentage (36.1%).
  • Austin Peay gave up 6.6 3-pointers per game and conceded 32.3% from beyond the arc last year, ranking 83rd and 95th, respectively, in college basketball.
  • Last year, the Governors took 36.5% of their shots from beyond the arc, and 63.5% from inside it. In terms of made shots, 29.4% of the Governors’ buckets were 3-pointers, and 70.6% were 2-pointers.

Morehead State Performance Insights

  • Morehead State put up 75.3 points per game last season (121st-ranked in college basketball), but it really shined defensively, allowing just 63.4 points per contest (ninth-best).
  • The Eagles thrived when it came to rebounding last year, ranking 20th-best in college basketball in rebounds per game (36.3) and ninth-best in boards allowed per contest (27.2).
  • Last year Morehead State ranked 70th in college basketball in assists, averaging 14.9 per game.
  • The Eagles averaged 11.1 turnovers per game (167th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while forcing 10.1 turnovers per contest (291st-ranked).
  • The Eagles ranked 23rd-best in the nation by making 9.4 threes per game. In terms of three-point percentage, they ranked 68th in college basketball at 36.0%.
  • When it came to defending three-pointers, it was a dominant season for Morehead State, who allowed 5.7 three-pointers per game (13th-best in college basketball) and a 30.2% shooting percentage from downtown (18th-best).
  • In terms of shot breakdown, Morehead State took 54.8% two-pointers (accounting for 65.1% of the team’s baskets) and 45.2% three-pointers (34.9%).

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