Bengals vs. Patriots Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 1
Published 4:37 pm Saturday, September 7, 2024
The Cincinnati Bengals will meet the New England Patriots at Paycor Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 8 at 1:00 p.m. ET. Our computer model projects the Bengals will earn a victory — see below for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score.
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The Bengals compiled 21.5 points per game on offense last season (16th in NFL), and they ranked 21st on defense with 22.6 points allowed per game. The Patriots ranked third-worst in total offense (276.2 yards per game) last season, but they played slightly better on defense, ranking seventh with 301.6 yards allowed per contest.
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Bengals vs. Patriots Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Bengals (-7.5) | Under (41) | Bengals 27, Patriots 13 |
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Bengals Betting Info
- Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Bengals’ implied win probability is 80.0%.
- Cincinnati went 7-8-2 ATS last season.
- Cincinnati games went over the point total 10 out of 17 times last season.
- The point total average for Bengals games last season was 43.5, 2.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
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Patriots Betting Info
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 24.4% chance of a victory for the Patriots.
- New England put together a 5-12-0 record against the spread last year.
- The Patriots were an underdog by 7.5 points or more four times last season, and covered the spread in two of those games.
- In New England games last season, combined scoring went over the point total seven times.
- Games involving the Patriots last year averaged 39.4 points per game, a 1.6-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.
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Bengals vs. Patriots 2023 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals | 21.5 | 22.6 | 23.7 | 19.1 | 19.1 | 26.5 |
| Patriots | 13.9 | 21.5 | 12.1 | 20.9 | 15.9 | 22.3 |
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