Tuesday’s game at Rupp Arena has the No. 5 Tennessee Volunteers (20-4, 7-4 SEC) going head to head against the No. 15 Kentucky Wildcats (16-7, 5-5 SEC) at 7:00 PM ET (on February 11). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 75-74 win for Tennessee, so it should be a competitive matchup.

Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky is projected to cover the spread (2.5) versus Tennessee. The two sides are expected to come in below the 149.5 total.

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, February 11, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lexington, Kentucky
• Venue: Rupp Arena
• Line: Tennessee -2.5
• Point total: 149.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -130, Kentucky +108

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee 75, Kentucky 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Kentucky

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (+2.5)
• Pick OU: Under (149.5)

Tennessee has gone 15-9-0 against the spread, while Kentucky’s ATS record this season is 11-12-0. The Volunteers are 9-15-0 and the Wildcats are 13-10-0 in terms of going over the point total. The two teams score 161.5 points per game, 12 more points than this matchup’s total. Tennessee is 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last 10 contests, while Kentucky has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

• The Volunteers have a +372 scoring differential, topping opponents by 15.5 points per game. They’re putting up 74.8 points per game to rank 165th in college basketball and are allowing 59.3 per contest to rank third in college basketball.
• Tennessee ranks 47th in college basketball at 35.1 rebounds per game. That’s 8.1 more than the 27 its opponents average.
• Tennessee makes 8.6 three-pointers per game (100th in college basketball), 1.7 more than its opponents (6.9). It is shooting 34.3% from beyond the arc (148th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 26.6%.
• The Volunteers rank 91st in college basketball by averaging 99.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are second in college basketball, allowing 79 points per 100 possessions.
• Tennessee has committed 1.5 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 10.2 (73rd in college basketball play) while forcing 11.7 (165th in college basketball).

Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats have a +234 scoring differential, topping opponents by 10.1 points per game. They’re putting up 86.7 points per game, third in college basketball, and are allowing 76.6 per outing to rank 307th in college basketball.
• The 35.9 rebounds per game Kentucky accumulates rank 27th in the country, four more than the 31.9 its opponents grab.
• Kentucky hits 10.1 three-pointers per game (22nd in college basketball) while shooting 37.9% from beyond the arc (24th in college basketball). It is making 1.5 more threes than its opponents, who drain 8.6 per game at 30%.
• Kentucky forces 9.2 turnovers per game (346th in college basketball) while committing 9.8 (41st in college basketball).

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