Kentucky vs. Arkansas Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 1
Published 11:28 am Friday, January 31, 2025
Saturday’s game between the No. 12 Kentucky Wildcats (15-5, 4-3 SEC) and the Arkansas Razorbacks (12-8, 1-6 SEC) at Rupp Arena has a projected final score of 82-72 based on our computer prediction, with a favored Kentucky squad securing the victory. Tipoff is at 9:00 PM ET on February 1.
Based on our computer prediction, Arkansas projects to cover the 10.5-point spread in its matchup versus Kentucky. The over/under has been set at 158.5, and the two teams are projected to fall short of that total.
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Kentucky vs. Arkansas Game Info & Odds
- Date: Saturday, February 1, 2025
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Lexington, Kentucky
- Venue: Rupp Arena
- Line: Kentucky -10.5
- Point total: 158.5
- Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -599, Arkansas +430
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Kentucky vs. Arkansas Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Kentucky 82, Arkansas 72
Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Arkansas
- Pick ATS: Arkansas (+10.5)
- Pick OU: Under (158.5)
Kentucky has put together a 10-10-0 record against the spread this season, while Arkansas is 6-14-0. A total of 11 out of the Wildcats’ games this season have gone over the point total, and seven of the Razorbacks’ games have gone over. The two teams score 163.8 points per game, 5.3 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 contests, Kentucky has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall. Arkansas has gone 2-8 against the spread and 4-6 overall in its last 10 matches.
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Kentucky Performance Insights
- The Wildcats average 87.6 points per game (third in college basketball) while allowing 75.9 per contest (292nd in college basketball). They have a +235 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 11.7 points per game.
- Kentucky wins the rebound battle by an average of 4.0 boards. It is recording 36.5 rebounds per game (24th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 32.5 per contest.
- Kentucky knocks down 10.2 three-pointers per game (19th in college basketball) at a 37.4% rate (37th in college basketball), compared to the 8.4 per game its opponents make at a 28.8% rate.
- The Wildcats record 106.6 points per 100 possessions (11th in college basketball), while giving up 92.3 points per 100 possessions (184th in college basketball).
- Kentucky has committed 9.9 turnovers per game (42nd in college basketball play) while forcing 9.9 (320th in college basketball).
Arkansas Performance Insights
- The Razorbacks outscore opponents by 8.1 points per game (posting 76.2 points per game, 134th in college basketball, and allowing 68.1 per contest, 81st in college basketball) and have a +161 scoring differential.
- Arkansas is 161st in the country at 32.7 rebounds per game. That’s 1.6 more than the 31.1 its opponents average.
- Arkansas knocks down 7.3 three-pointers per game (224th in college basketball) at a 32.5% rate (255th in college basketball), compared to the 7.6 its opponents make, shooting 31.5% from beyond the arc.
- Arkansas and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Razorbacks commit 11.4 per game (183rd in college basketball) and force 12.3 (132nd in college basketball).
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