Thursday’s game features the Morehead State Eagles (10-7, 5-1 OVC) and the Western Illinois Leathernecks (8-9, 2-4 OVC) squaring off at Ellis T. Johnson Arena (on January 16) at 7:30 PM ET. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in a 72-67 victory for Morehead State.

According to our computer prediction, Western Illinois projects to cover the 6.5-point spread in its matchup versus Morehead State. The total is listed at 131.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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Morehead State vs. Western Illinois Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 16, 2025
• Time: 7:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Morehead, Kentucky
• Venue: Ellis T. Johnson Arena
• Line: Morehead State -6.5
• Point total: 131.5
• Moneyline (to win): Morehead State -290, Western Illinois +225

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Morehead State vs. Western Illinois Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Morehead State 72, Western Illinois 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Morehead State vs. Western Illinois

• Pick ATS: Western Illinois (+6.5)
• Pick OU: Over (131.5)

Morehead State has a 9-5-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Western Illinois, who is 4-10-0 ATS. The Eagles are 4-10-0 and the Leathernecks are 10-4-0 in terms of going over the point total. The teams score an average of 140.1 points per game, 8.6 more points than this matchup’s total. In the past 10 games, Morehead State is 7-3 against the spread and 6-4 overall while Western Illinois has gone 3-7 against the spread and 3-7 overall.

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Morehead State Performance Insights

• The Eagles have a -4 scoring differential, putting up 69.6 points per game (299th in college basketball) and giving up 69.8 (129th in college basketball).
• Morehead State prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 5.9 boards. It is collecting 35.4 rebounds per game (55th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 29.5 per contest.
• Morehead State makes 5.8 three-pointers per game (341st in college basketball), 1.2 fewer than its opponents (7). It is shooting 31% from deep (311th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 33.1%.
• The Eagles average 91.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (285th in college basketball), and give up 91.7 points per 100 possessions (178th in college basketball).
• Morehead State has committed 1.3 more turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 11.5 (184th in college basketball play) while forcing 10.2 (313th in college basketball).

Western Illinois Performance Insights

• The Leathernecks have a -1 scoring differential, putting up 70.5 points per game (279th in college basketball) and allowing 70.5 (149th in college basketball).
• Western Illinois comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 2.2 boards. It collects 31.9 rebounds per game (229th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 29.7.
• Western Illinois makes 1.3 more threes per game than the opposition, 8.4 (120th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.1.
• Western Illinois has had more turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 10.9 per game (123rd in college basketball) while forcing 9.5 (341st in college basketball).

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