Thursday’s contest at Baptist Health Arena has the Eastern Kentucky Colonels (7-8, 1-1 ASUN) squaring off against the North Florida Ospreys (7-8, 0-2 ASUN) at 7:00 PM (on January 9). Our computer prediction projects a 82-78 win for Eastern Kentucky, who is a slight favorite based on our model.

Based on our computer prediction, Eastern Kentucky projects to cover the 2.5-point spread in its matchup against North Florida. The over/under is listed at 170.5, and the two teams are projected to fall short of that total.

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Eastern Kentucky vs. North Florida Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 9, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Richmond, Kentucky
• Venue: Baptist Health Arena
• Line: Eastern Kentucky -2.5
• Point total: 170.5
• Moneyline (to win): Eastern Kentucky -154, North Florida +126

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Eastern Kentucky vs. North Florida Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Eastern Kentucky 82, North Florida 78

Spread & Total Prediction for Eastern Kentucky vs. North Florida

• Pick ATS: Eastern Kentucky (-2.5)
• Pick OU: Under (170.5)

Both Eastern Kentucky and North Florida are 6-7-0 against the spread (ATS) so far this season. The Colonels are 10-3-0 and the Ospreys are 11-2-0 in terms of going over the point total. The teams put up 160.6 points per game combined, 9.9 fewer than this matchup’s over/under. Over the last 10 contests, Eastern Kentucky is 3-7 against the spread and 3-7 overall while North Florida has gone 3-7 against the spread and 2-8 overall.

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Eastern Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Colonels average 77.1 points per game (137th in college basketball) while giving up 76.6 per outing (308th in college basketball). They have a +7 scoring differential overall.
• Eastern Kentucky loses the rebound battle by 1.6 boards on average. It collects 35.1 rebounds per game, which ranks 72nd in college basketball, while its opponents grab 36.7 per contest.
• Eastern Kentucky connects on 9.3 three-pointers per game (64th in college basketball) at a 31.4% rate (294th in college basketball), compared to the 7.5 per game its opponents make at a 33.7% rate.
• The Colonels average 91.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (271st in college basketball), and give up 91.4 points per 100 possessions (185th in college basketball).
• Eastern Kentucky has committed 3.4 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 10.7 (101st in college basketball action) while forcing 14.1 (44th in college basketball).

North Florida Performance Insights

• The Ospreys have a -31 scoring differential, falling short by 2.1 points per game. They’re putting up 83.5 points per game, 29th in college basketball, and are allowing 85.6 per contest to rank 361st in college basketball.
• North Florida comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of four boards. It collects 34.1 rebounds per game (115th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 38.1.
• North Florida makes 12.3 three-pointers per game (first in college basketball) while shooting 34.7% from beyond the arc (133rd in college basketball). It is making 5.0 more threes than its opponents, who drain 7.3 per game at 35.9%.
• North Florida forces 10.9 turnovers per game (262nd in college basketball) while committing 11.2 (150th in college basketball).

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