Thursday’s contest that pits the No. 16 Kentucky Wildcats (11-1) versus the Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-1) at Memorial Coliseum has a projected final score of 69-64 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Kentucky, who is slightly favored in this matchup according to our model. Game time is at 7:00 PM ET on January 2.

Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup versus Mississippi State. The over/under has been set at 135.5, and the two teams are projected to go under that total.

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Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 2, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV channel: SEC Network +
• Where: Lexington-Fayette, Kentucky
• Venue: Memorial Coliseum
• Line: Kentucky -1.5
• Point total: 135.5
• Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -140, Mississippi State +115

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Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Kentucky 69, Mississippi State 64

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (-1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (135.5)

The two teams score 157.3 points per game, 21.8 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats average 78.4 points per game (39th in college basketball) while allowing 57.1 per contest (53rd in college basketball). They have a +256 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 21.3 points per game.
• The 38.8 rebounds per game Kentucky averages rank 23rd in the nation, and are 9.8 more than the 29 its opponents record per contest.
• Kentucky knocks down 7.8 three-pointers per game (59th in college basketball) at a 29.6% rate (227th in college basketball), compared to the 4.8 per game its opponents make at a 24.9% rate.
• The Wildcats average 95.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (34th in college basketball), and allow 69.6 points per 100 possessions (45th in college basketball).
• Kentucky has committed 1.1 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 12.2 (23rd in college basketball action) while forcing 13.3 (322nd in college basketball).

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs outscore opponents by 27.0 points per game (posting 78.9 points per game, 35th in college basketball, and conceding 51.9 per outing, sixth in college basketball) and have a +378 scoring differential.
• Mississippi State wins the rebound battle by 14.6 boards on average. It collects 40.5 rebounds per game, 10th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 25.9.
• Mississippi State knocks down 6.8 three-pointers per game (124th in college basketball) while shooting 32.4% from deep (135th in college basketball). It is making 1.2 more threes than its opponents, who drain 5.6 per game at 24.5%.
• Mississippi State has committed 16.4 turnovers per game (198th in college basketball), 1.2 fewer than the 17.6 it forces (107th in college basketball).

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