Saturday’s game features the Morehead State Eagles (5-6, 1-0 OVC) and the Tennessee State Tigers (4-8, 0-1 OVC) facing off at Ellis T. Johnson Arena (on December 21) at 3:30 PM ET. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in a 77-74 victory for Morehead State.

According to our computer prediction, Tennessee State projects to cover the 3.5-point spread in its matchup versus Morehead State. The total has been set at 148.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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Morehead State vs. Tennessee State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 21, 2024
• Time: 3:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Morehead, Kentucky
• Venue: Ellis T. Johnson Arena
• Line: Morehead State -3.5
• Point total: 148.5
• Moneyline (to win): Morehead State -188, Tennessee State +152

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Morehead State vs. Tennessee State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Morehead State 77, Tennessee State 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Morehead State vs. Tennessee State

• Pick ATS: Tennessee State (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (148.5)

Morehead State is 5-4-0 against the spread, while Tennessee State’s ATS record this season is 4-5-0. The Eagles are 4-5-0 and the Tigers are 8-1-0 in terms of going over the point total. The teams score an average of 150.9 points per game, 2.4 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Morehead State Performance Insights

• The Eagles’ -41 scoring differential (being outscored by 3.7 points per game) is a result of scoring 69.5 points per game (308th in college basketball) while giving up 73.2 per contest (236th in college basketball).
• Morehead State wins the rebound battle by 3.4 boards on average. It collects 33.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 134th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 30.5 per contest.
• Morehead State makes 6 three-pointers per game (334th in college basketball), 1.5 fewer than its opponents (7.5).
• The Eagles rank 293rd in college basketball by averaging 90.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 278th in college basketball, allowing 95.2 points per 100 possessions.
• Morehead State loses the turnover battle by two per game, committing 11.8 (199th in college basketball) while its opponents average 9.8.

Tennessee State Performance Insights

• The Tigers outscore opponents by 4.8 points per game (posting 81.4 points per game, 63rd in college basketball, and conceding 76.6 per contest, 300th in college basketball) and have a +58 scoring differential.
• Tennessee State is first in the nation at 42.1 rebounds per game. That’s 10.4 more than the 31.7 its opponents average.
• Tennessee State hits 6.4 three-pointers per game (307th in college basketball), 1.2 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 28.2% from beyond the arc (349th in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 32.7%.
• Tennessee State has lost the turnover battle on average this season, committing 14.8 per game (349th in college basketball) while forcing 12.8 (134th in college basketball).

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